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Spatial clustering of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Hunan province, China: an ecological studyThis study aimed to investigate the spatial distribution of drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) in Hunan province, China. An ecological study was conducted using DR-TB data collected from the Tuberculosis Control Institute of Hunan Province between 2012 and 2018.
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Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settingsDeveloping new methods for modelling infectious diseases outbreaks is important for monitoring transmission and developing policy. In this paper we propose using semi-mechanistic Hawkes Processes for modelling malaria transmission in near-elimination settings. Hawkes Processes are well founded mathematical methods that enable us to combine the benefits of both statistical and mechanistic models to recreate and forecast disease transmission beyond just malaria outbreak scenarios.
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Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infectionsAsymptomatic or subclinical SARS-CoV-2 infections are often unreported, which means that confirmed case counts may not accurately reflect underlying epidemic dynamics. Understanding the level of ascertainment (the ratio of confirmed symptomatic cases to the true number of symptomatic individuals) and undetected epidemic progression is crucial to informing COVID-19 response planning, including the introduction and relaxation of control measures.
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Early analysis of the Australian Covid-19 epidemicAs of 1 May 2020, there had been 6808 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. Of these, 98 had died from the disease. The epidemic had been in decline since mid-March, with 308 cases confirmed nationally since 14 April.
News & Events
Survivors of drug-resistant TB face long-term health problems: studyNew research highlights the long-term physical health problems faced by people who survive drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) .
News & Events
WA’s Omicron wave on a downward trajectory, despite new variantsSophisticated modelling produced is predicting a steady decline in COVID-19 cases in WA throughout August, but hospitalisation rates will remain relatively high.
Research
Endemic country capacity building and decentralizationAdam Punam Susan Tolu Saddler Amratia Rumisha Okitika PhD PhD PhD (Biostatistics) EMBA, GAICD, PMP, MPH, BSc Research Officer Honorary Research
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Geospatial modelling for malaria risk stratification and intervention targeting for high burden high impact countriesPunam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate
Research
Geospatial modelling for malaria risk stratification and intervention targeting for low-endemic countriesPunam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate