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Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settingsDeveloping new methods for modelling infectious diseases outbreaks is important for monitoring transmission and developing policy. In this paper we propose using semi-mechanistic Hawkes Processes for modelling malaria transmission in near-elimination settings. Hawkes Processes are well founded mathematical methods that enable us to combine the benefits of both statistical and mechanistic models to recreate and forecast disease transmission beyond just malaria outbreak scenarios.
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Maternal HIV infection alters antimicrobial immunity in exposed and uninfected infantsImplementation of lifelong ART of all HIV-infected women has the potential to improve maternal determinants of protective immunity in the young infant
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Factors associated with pneumococcal carriage in children and adults in Fiji, using four cross-sectional surveysThis study describes predictors of pneumococcal nasopharyngeal carriage and density in Fiji. We used data from four annual cross-sectional surveys, pre- and post-introduction of ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in October 2012. Infants, toddlers, children, and their caregivers participated. Pneumococci were detected and quantified using lytA qPCR, with molecular serotyping by microarray. Logistic and quantile regression were used to determine predictors of pneumococcal carriage and density, respectively.
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Modelling the seasonality of respiratory syncytial virus in young childrenThe transmission dynamics of RSV infection among young children are still poorly understood and mathematical modelling can be used to better understand...
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Impact of CD14 promoter variants on measles vaccine responses and vaccine failure in children from Australia and MozambiqueHost genetics are likely to play a crucial role, particularly variants that alter key innate immune response genes.
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Rhinovirus species and clinical features in children hospitalised with pneumonia from MozambiqueThe prevalence of human rhinovirus (RV) species in children hospitalised with pneumonia in Manhiça, Mozambique
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Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Western Australia, 1998-2012Our objective was to describe the epidemiology, clinical features, health care resource use, treatment and outcomes of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis...
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Evaluation of impact of 23 valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine following 7 valent pneumococcalThe impact of the 23vPPV booster on IPD incidence among Australian Indigenous children is unclear from regional reports of small case numbers.
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Whither pertussis?This article discusses the rising prevalence of pertussis disease in countries which have switched to acellular vaccines.
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Geogenic PM10 exposure exacerbates responses to influenza infectionThis study aimed to determine whether chronic, low-dose exposure to geogenic particulate matter <10μm diameter (PM10) exacerbates viral infections of the...